Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Municipal de Berkane (Berkane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, Supersport WWE
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
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Canada	beIN Connect
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Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV4
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Thailand	beIN Connect
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Berkane		Simba

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	11	Watch
	1.26	4.6	11
	1.26	4.95	12.39
	1.29	4.56	13.83	Watch
	1.23	4.8	16	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	4.59 ↑ (4)	11.84 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkane
71.8%

Draw
20.3%

Simba
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

22.4%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Berkane's performance.

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkane than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Berkane that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Berkane - Simba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Berkane will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Simba will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Berkane (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Berkane (votes: 1 - 50%). Simba (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munir (G) 13. Tahif A. 4. Dayo I. (C) 6. Camara M. 21. Mehri Y. 18. Riahi I. 17. Labhiri Y. 9. Lamlioui O. 8. Khairi A. 19. El Moussaoui H. 15. Assal A.	40. Camara M. (G) 12. Kapombe S. 2. Karaboue C. 14. Hamza A. 15. Hussein M. (C) 21. Kagoma Y. 6. Ngoma F. 10. Ahoua J. C. 34. Mpanzu E. 13. Leonel Ateba 38. Kibu D.
Substitutes
39. Bello Ilou B. 2. El Maswab A. 10. El Morabit M. 35. Hajji R. 22. Maftah M. (G) 7. Mateus Santos 3. Sadiki A. 5. Sidibe S. 11. Zghoudi Y.	1. Ally Salim (G) 23. Awesu A. A. 3. Duchu 17. Fernandes D. 20. Malone Junior C. 11. Mukwala S. 26. Mutale J. 29. Nouma V. 25. Okejepha A.
Coaches
Chaabani M.	Davids F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Camara M. ⚽, El Moussaoui H. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Lamlioui O. ⚽, Riahi I. (A),
23', Hamza A. ↓, Malone Junior C. ↑,
27', Davids F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kibu D. ↓, Nouma V. ↑,
73', Riahi I. ↓, Zghoudi Y. ↑,
74', El Moussaoui H. ↓, El Morabit M. ↑,
80', Mpanzu E. ↓, Mutale J. ↑,
87', El Morabit M. ↓, Mateus Santos ↑,
90+5', Ahoua J. C. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
90+6', Lamlioui O. ↓, Bello Ilou B. ↑,
90+6', Labhiri Y. ↓, Hajji R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Berkane is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Play Offs )

Simba is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Play Offs )

Berkane is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Simba is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Berkane is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Berkane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Berkane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSB Berkane
Moroccan Botola
11.05.25	Maghreb Fez - Berkane	1:3 ✺
07.05.25	Berkane - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	CODM de Meknès - Berkane	0:4 ✺
01.05.25	Berkane - Difaa El Jadida	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.04.25	Constantine - Berkane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTL
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
11.05.25	Kinondoni MC - Simba	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Simba - Pamba	5:1 ✺
05.05.25	JKT Tanzania - Simba	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Simba - Mashujaa	2:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.04.25	Stellenbosch - Simba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
13.03.22	Simba - Berkane	1:0
27.02.22	Berkane - Simba	2:0

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