Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 15

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)


	Kinondoni MC		Simba

	1	X	2
	9.8	4.45	1.27
	9.86	4.62	1.25
	8.47	4.25	1.37	Watch
	10	4.2	1.3
	10.4	4.2	1.31
	10	4.33	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.76 ↓ (10.01)	4.34 ↓ (4.36)	1.3 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kinondoni MC
9.3%

Draw
20.9%

Simba
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kinondoni MC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kinondoni MC - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutombora F. (G) 11. Chambo R. 36. Chibada O. 25. Kidawa S. J. 41. Mpepo E. 21. Mwaituka S. 2. Mwangabo C. 14. Mwijage E. 16. Nassor M. 5. Shemvuni J. 20. Simba J.	28. Abel H. (G) 18. Abraham M. 17. Chama C. 23. De Reuck R. 7. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 12. Kapombe S. 32. Kibabage N. 40. Mwalimu S. 20. Oura A. A. 25. Toure O.
Substitutes
. Ally K. . Athuman S. . Bomboma I. (G) 6. Gambo I. . Majogoro B. 3. Msonga H. . Oscar P. . Redemtus M. 10. Saliboko D. . Uledi A.	. Bashiri 30. Camara N. . Duchu . Erasto A. (G) 10. Loemba I. 35. Maema N. 4. Masinde V. 34. Mpanzu E. 37. Semfuko H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 0.

Recent form of Kinondoni has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Simba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kinondoni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kinondoni has had a series of away games.

In this match, Simba is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:28. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kinondoni won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
08.02.26	Dodoma Jiji - Kinondoni MC	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Mashujaa	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Namungo - Kinondoni MC	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Coastal Union - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	TRA United - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLTL
- Simba SC
CAF Champions League
07.02.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Simba	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Simba - Espérance ST	2:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
29.01.26	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.01.26	Espérance ST - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
18.01.26	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
11.05.25	Kinondoni MC - Simba	1:2
06.11.24	Simba - Kinondoni MC	4:0
25.05.24	Simba - Kinondoni MC	1:0
23.12.23	Kinondoni MC - Simba	2:2
26.12.22	Kinondoni MC - Simba	1:3
07.09.22	Simba - Kinondoni MC	2:2
19.06.22	Simba - Kinondoni MC	3:1

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