Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Gostivar (Gostivar)


	Besa Dobërdoll		Shkupi

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.85	3.3	2.25
	2.76	3.32	2.25
				Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.9	3.08	2.33
	2.85	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (4.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	2.25 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besa Dobërdoll
32%

Draw
27.8%

Shkupi
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26.2%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

23.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besa Dobërdoll has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Besa Dobërdoll's performance.

Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shkupi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Dobërdoll than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Besa Dobërdoll that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shkupi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Besa Dobërdoll - Shkupi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Zahov K. (G) 88. Ali H. 24. Draganovic A. 4. Ljamalari A. 6. Neziri M. (C) 77. Nuredini J. 3. Rexhepi A. 14. Samake A. 8. Selmani R. 29. Siljanovski G. 17. Velija B.	1. Iljazi A. (C) 28. Ajetovikj N. 3. Asani X. 2. Blazevski K. 37. Diene A. 5. Gueye E. 31. Imeri D. 11. Kadriu F. 44. Kanda Y. 10. Ramani H. 90. Stojanovski G.
Substitutes
9. Ademi I. 23. Aleksovski F. 34. Beljulji M. 15. Fetai I. 26. Franco N. 7. Gashi G. 11. Ljatifi A. 22. Rakipi O. 1. Siljanovski D. (G) 19. Skenderi E. 90. Talovic D.	6. Ansah C. 47. Asani E. 34. Daci B. 13. Denkovski D. (G) 21. Ganiu B. 7. Gudjufi B. 32. Lichina E. 19. Mehmed A. 99. Meljachi A. (G) 29. Tamba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Gueye E. 🟨,
41', Selmani R. 🟨,
41', Siljanovski G. 🟨,
41', Asani X. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Ali H. ↓, Ljatifi A. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Siljanovski D. (Own goal),
60', Neziri M. 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 6).

Besa Dobërdoll has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shkupi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Shkupi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Besa Dobërdoll won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besa Dobërdoll
North Macedonian 1 MFL
03.12.24	Pelister - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Besa Dobërdoll - AP Brera Strumica	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Rabotnički - Besa Dobërdoll	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Tikveš - Besa Dobërdoll	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Besa Dobërdoll - Struga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL
- FK Shkupi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
03.12.24	Shkupi - Struga	3:1 ✺
27.11.24	Shkendija Tetovo - Shkupi	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Shkupi - Sileks	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Vardar - Shkupi	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Shkupi - Gostivar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
25.09.24	Shkupi - Besa Dobërdoll	1:1

Besa Dobërdoll - Shkupi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide