Match Info

1. MFL - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Gostivar (Gostivar)


	Besa Dobërdoll		AP Brera Strumica

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.95	4.4
	1.59	4.02	4.32
	1.64	4.03	4.37	Watch
	1.57	3.82	5.01
	1.62	3.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.03)	3.95 ↑ (3.51)	4.5 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besa Dobërdoll
56.7%

Draw
23.1%

AP Brera Strumica
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besa Dobërdoll has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Besa Dobërdoll's performance.

AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AP Brera Strumica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Dobërdoll than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Besa Dobërdoll that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AP Brera Strumica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Besa Dobërdoll - AP Brera Strumica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Besa Dobërdoll (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Zahov K. (G) 5. Alimi A. (C) 20. Fetai I. 90. Gavric N. 99. Kanda Y. 21. Neziri M. 22. Rakipi O. 8. Selmani R. 7. Shefiti S. 25. Siljanovski G. 9. Stojanovski V.	1. Vrgov S. (G) 32. Antovski F. 33. Arizankoski A. 10. Gjorgievski M. (C) 20. Ivanovski Z. 8. Kagimu S. 6. Naumcheski S. 9. Ndzengue F. 29. Olaosebikan I. 24. Stojilevski M. 3. Velkov A.
Substitutes
88. Ali H. 19. Draganovic A. 10. Esati D. 81. Fatlum S. 11. Ljatifi A. 13. Mustafa E. 77. Nuredini J. 3. Rexhepi A. 15. Samake A. 1. Siljanovski D. (G) 23. Velija B.	17. Andonov Z. 37. Bilbija D. 77. Drame H. 82. Iloski D. (G) 5. Jankuloski H. 22. Mihailov F. 7. Mitchell R. 15. Ristovski D. 19. Taleski N. 23. Trawally F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Neziri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, Gjorgievski M. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Stojanovski V. ⚽,

Preview

Besa Dobërdoll has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brera Strumica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brera Strumica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Besa Dobërdoll could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Besa Dobërdoll won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Besa Dobërdoll won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besa Dobërdoll
North Macedonian 1 MFL
26.04.25	Vardar - Besa Dobërdoll	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Sileks - Besa Dobërdoll	5:0 ✺
06.04.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Rabotnički - Besa Dobërdoll	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL
- AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
28.04.25	AP Brera Strumica - Voska Sport	Brera Strumica awarded ✺
North Macedonian Cup
23.04.25	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
19.04.25	Tikveš - AP Brera Strumica	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Pelister - AP Brera Strumica	1:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
09.04.25	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 ?TLWL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
27.11.24	Besa Dobërdoll - AP Brera Strumica	0:1
North Macedonian Cup
23.10.24	AP Brera Strumica - Besa Dobërdoll	2:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.09.24	AP Brera Strumica - Besa Dobërdoll	3:2

Besa Dobërdoll - AP Brera Strumica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide