The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Besa Kavajë 66.8%
Draw 21.9%
Korabi Peshkopi 11.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.5%
21.4%
11.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
20.3%
10.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Korabi Peshkopi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korabi Peshkopi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', (Penalty Awarded),
65', 1 - 0, Kapo E. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 9th in the Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Besa won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Korabi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Besa as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Besa has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Besa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).