Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kukes Arena (Kukës)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Klani IM, RTSH Sport
World	FIFA+


	Kukësi		Besa Kavajë

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.65	5.9
	1.54	3.57	5.87	Watch
	1.48	3.68	6.47
	2	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.06)	3.53 ↑ (3.2)	5.37 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kukësi
56.6%

Draw
26.2%

Besa Kavajë
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kukësi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kukësi's performance.

Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Besa Kavajë might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kukësi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Besa Kavajë could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kukësi - Besa Kavajë Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukësi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kukësi will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Oliveira Dos Santos ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Rrena H. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Abiodoun T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Besa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kukësi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kukësi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Besa Kavaje	4	2	1	1	13:5	8	7
6	Kukesi	4	2	0	2	6:6	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Kukësi
Albanian First Division
25.04.26	Laçi - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Pogradeci - Kukësi	5:1 ✺
04.04.26	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kastrioti - Kukësi	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Kukësi - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWW
- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
25.04.26	Besa Kavajë - Korabi Peshkopi	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Apolonia Fier - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Besa Kavajë	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
31.01.26	Kukësi - Besa Kavajë	1:0
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1
Albanian First Division
29.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1
16.02.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	2:1
02.02.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	2:1
30.10.24	Kukësi - Besa Kavajë	0:5
Albanian Super League
16.02.14	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	2:0

Kukësi - Besa Kavajë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide