Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Beti Gazte		Vitoria

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Beti Gazte
26.5%

Draw
30.1%

Vitoria
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.8%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beti Gazte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beti Gazte than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beti Gazte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Beti Gazte is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vitoria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beti Gazte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beti Gazte KJKE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.10.21	Amurrio - Beti Gazte	4:0 ✺
12.10.21	Beti Gazte - Pasaia	2:3 ✺
09.10.21	Uritarra - Beti Gazte	1:4 ✺
03.10.21	Beti Gazte - San Ignacio	1:2 ✺
15.09.21	Urduliz - Beti Gazte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLT
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Vitoria - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
12.10.21	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Vitoria - Alavés B	1:4 ✺
25.09.21	Vitoria - Santutxu	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Deusto - Vitoria	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLLW

Beti Gazte - Vitoria