Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Beveren		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.2	4.1	1.75
	4.1	4.1	1.77	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.72
	4.45	4.17	1.75
	3.2	3.7	2.05
	4.4	4.05	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.35)	3.96 ↑ (3.79)	1.78 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beveren
23%

Draw
23.9%

Charleroi
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

24.9%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

19.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beveren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beveren's form might have worsened.

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleroi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charleroi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	12.8%	76.9%

Beveren - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Beveren will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). Charleroi will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone 1B Pro League (Relegation) and 9).

Waasland-Beveren has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Charleroi has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (7%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Waasland-Beveren is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Charleroi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Waasland-Beveren could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Waasland-Beveren have a series of home games.

In this match Charleroi is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Waasland-Beveren won 2 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Waasland-Beveren won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Beveren
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.02.21	Beveren - Eupen	1:0 ✺
06.02.21	Beveren - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.02.21	Beveren - Oostende	2:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.01.21	Royal Antwerp - Beveren	3:2 ✺
26.01.21	Beveren - KV Mechelen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Cup
11.02.21	Gent - Charleroi	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.21	Charleroi - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.02.21	Charleroi - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.01.21	Kortrijk - Charleroi	1:3 ✺
27.01.21	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.12.20	Charleroi - Beveren	0:2
30.11.19	Charleroi - Beveren	2:0
31.08.19	Beveren - Charleroi	0:4
26.01.19	Charleroi - Beveren	2:2
22.09.18	Beveren - Charleroi	1:1
25.11.17	Beveren - Charleroi	0:2
16.09.17	Charleroi - Beveren	2:2

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