Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Charleroi		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4.1
	1.88	3.65	4.43
	1.86	3.91	4.22	Watch
	1.71	4.2	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	3.79 ↓ (4.18)	4.2 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Charleroi
52.2%

Draw
25.1%

Zulte Waregem
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.1%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Charleroi - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Waregem will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Delavalee M. (G) 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 95. Keita C. 4. Ousou A. 24. Nzita M. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 14. Pflucke P. 25. Colassin A. 17. Bernier A. 21. Scheidler A.	13. Gabriel B. (G) 12. Paugain W. 3. Tanghe A. 5. Kiilerich J. 55. Cappelle Y. 11. Gavriel S. 8. Claes T. 21. Nnadi T. 22. Opoku J. 24. Erenbjerg J. 18. Ementa A.
Substitutes
28. Asante R. 43. Benaets Q. 27. Blum L. 56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 23. Gaudin J. 40. Khalifi Y. 30. Kone M. (G) 9. Szymczak F.	39. Ake M. 1. Bostyn L. (G) 20. Hedl T. 6. Lofolomo E. 19. Nyssen B. 17. Soglo E. 36. Ujka S. 9. Vossen J. 31. Willen L.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Vandenbroeck S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Pflucke P. ⚽, Camara E. (A),
24', Ousou A. 🟥,
27', Colassin A. ↓, Boukamir A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gavriel S. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
46', Nnadi T. ↓, Vossen J. ↑,
55', Pflucke P. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
55', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
62', Cappelle Y. ↓, Soglo E. ↑,
62', Paugain W. ↓, Nyssen B. ↑,
62', Keita C. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Opoku J. ⚽,
67', Kiilerich J. 🟨,
73', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
77', Opoku J. ↓, Ujka S. ↑,
78', Bernier A. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
79', Titraoui Y. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
80', Blum L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Vossen J. ⚽, Ementa A. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3.

Charleroi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Waregem has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charleroi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Charleroi is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:27. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.09.25	Genk - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Charleroi	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Charleroi - Dender EH	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Charleroi - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	RAAL La Louvière - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWTL
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.25	Zulte Waregem - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Genk - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Zulte Waregem - Sint-Truidense	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Zulte Waregem - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.04.23	Charleroi - Zulte Waregem	3:2
21.08.22	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	1:3
Club Friendly
29.06.22	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	1:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.04.22	Charleroi - Zulte Waregem	3:0
22.08.21	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	2:2
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	3:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.21	Charleroi - Zulte Waregem	1:1

Upcoming Matches