Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Gent		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.7	3.3
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.52	3.49
	1.49	4.13	6.60	Watch
	2.1	3.59	3.42	Watch
	2.07	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)	3.64 ↓ (3.85)	3.87 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
48.3%

Draw
26.6%

Charleroi
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

24.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	28.6%	10.7%

Gent - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Charleroi will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 4 - 40%). Charleroi (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 29. Duverne J. 3. Paskotsi M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 18. Samoise M. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 37. Kadri A. 8. Skoras M. 6. Gandelman O. 15. Ito A. 7. Kanga W.	55. Delavalee M. (G) 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 14. Pflucke P. 8. Romsaas J. 17. Bernier A. 21. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
20. Araujo T. 27. De Vlieger T. 25. Essaouabi H. 45. Goore H. 22. Lopes L. 30. Peersman K. (G) 11. Sonko M. 19. Surdez F. 14. Vanzeir D.	28. Asante R. 43. Benaets Q. 27. Blum L. 56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 25. Colassin A. 23. Gaudin J. 30. Kone M. (G) 9. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Leko I.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ito A. ⚽, Delorge-Knieper M. (A),
26', Samoise M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Pflucke P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
60', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
63', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
68', Bernier A. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
69', Kanga W. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Gandelman O. ⚽, Skoras M. (A),
75', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
78', Skoras M. ↓, Surdez F. ↑,
81', Camara E. 🟨,
84', Keita C. ↓, Benaets Q. ↑,
84', Camara E. ↓, Asante R. ↑,
86', Blum L. 🟨,
89', Gandelman O. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 2.

Gent is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charleroi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gent is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gent: Dean M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Charleroi: Guiagon P. (Inactive) Sow M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gent: Lopes L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Gent - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Charleroi - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 29.29%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Gent - Dender EH	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Royal Antwerp - Gent	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWWT
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Charleroi - Zulte Waregem	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Genk - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Charleroi	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Charleroi - Dender EH	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.01.25	Gent - Charleroi	1:1
11.08.24	Charleroi - Gent	1:0
17.03.24	Gent - Charleroi	5:0
05.11.23	Charleroi - Gent	1:3
19.01.23	Gent - Charleroi	0:0
04.09.22	Charleroi - Gent	2:1
21.05.22	Gent - Charleroi	1:2

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