Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Freethiel Stadion (Beveren)


	Beveren		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.88	2.78	2.78	Watch
	2.92	3.08	2.48	Watch
	2.84	2.94	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 (2.8)	3.03 ↓ (3.33)	2.54 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beveren
33%

Draw
30.5%

Standard Liège
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Beveren have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Beveren - Standard Liège Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Beveren will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Standard will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Deman M. (G) 3. Boone V. 22. Bruls C. 18. Dewaele S. 21. Jans L. (C) 4. Janssens C. 17. Margaritha J. 92. Mertens L. 28. Ouedraogo A. 6. Rigo D. 8. Slegers F.	1. Epolo M. (G) 11. Abid A. 27. El Hankouri M. 13. Fossey M. (C) 9. Henry T. 24. Homawoo J. 20. Karamoko I. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 7. Mohr T. 94. Nielsen C. 17. Said R.
Substitutes
35. Abrahams K. 20. Dassy D. 77. Erturk H. 31. Godeau B. 84. Lusamba J. (G) 26. Mawete N. 11. Michiwaki Y. 7. Najim I. 99. Sjongers T. 78. Van Hecke J.	53. Assengue S. 29. Dierckx D. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 25. Hautekiet I. 14. Kuavita L. 73. Nam J. 59. Nkada T. 21. Pirard L. (G) 6. Sahabo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Rigo D. ⚽,
28', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
34', 1 - 1, Henry T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
68', Rigo D. ↓, Abrahams K. ↑,
68', Slegers F. ↓, Van Hecke J. ↑,
75', Nielsen C. 🟨,
75', Mertens L. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
76', Margaritha J. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Eckert Ayensa D. ⚽,
86', Dewaele S. ↓, Dassy D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beveren won 1.

Beveren is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Standard has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beveren won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:37. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Beveren won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Beveren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Beveren - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Beveren	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kortrijk - Beveren	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Beveren - Seraing	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	RFC Liège - Beveren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.10.25	Gent - Standard Liège	4:0 ✺
20.10.25	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.01.21	Standard Liège - Beveren	3:1
17.08.20	Beveren - Standard Liège	1:2
21.12.19	Beveren - Standard Liège	2:1
30.10.19	Standard Liège - Beveren	2:0
17.03.19	Standard Liège - Beveren	4:3
03.08.18	Beveren - Standard Liège	0:0
08.12.17	Beveren - Standard Liège	3:1

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