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Current Win Probability
Gent 50.7%
Draw 27.3%
Standard Liège 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
28.4%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
27.4%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent's performance.
Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Standard Liège might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.4%
12.5%
3.1%
Gent - Standard Liège Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Standard (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Gent (1.80) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Gent will win
(26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gent will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 3 - 75%). Standard (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 5. Ngom M. 16. Burgess C. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 57. Volckaert M. 27. De Vlieger T. 17. Delorge M. 20. Araujo T. 7. Balikwisha M. 11. Sonko M. 47. Vergara J.
1. Epolo M. (G) 13. Fossey M. (C) 20. Karamoko I. 25. Hautekiet I. 18. Lawrence H. 94. Nielsen C. 22. Trouillet A. 84. Touzghar R. 15. Drammeh S. 10. Eckert D. 11. Abid A.
Substitutes
39. Ayinde A. 75. Cisse I. 45. Goore H. 37. Kadri A. 22. Lopes L. 3. Paskotsi M. 30. Peersman K. (G) 59. Seck E. H. 14. Wilson K.
29. Dierckx D. 80. Fosso R. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 19. Jasper S. 7. Mohr T. 17. Nguene B. 77. Nsimba B. 21. Pirard L. (G) 9. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
De Mil R.
Euvrard V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Ngom M. ↓, Paskotsi M. ↑,
31', 1 - 0, Vergara J. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Nielsen C. ⚽, Eckert D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', Volckaert M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
71', Eckert D. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
71', Delorge M. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
76', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Burgess C. ⚽, De Vlieger T. (A),
87', Trouillet A. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
87', Fossey M. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
90+1', Vergara J. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
90+1', Sonko M. ↓, Ayinde A. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 5.
Gent has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Standard is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Gent carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Gent: Samoise M.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Standard: El Hankouri M.
(Inactive)
Homawoo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ilaimaharitra M.
(Inactive)
Lavalee D.
(Inactive)
Mortensen G.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gent has recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:18 (averaging 2.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gent against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 30:6 goals (averaging 3:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Gent
8
7
1
0
15:4
11
22
8
St. Liege
8
3
2
3
13:13
0
11
Last Results with these Odds
Standard Liège - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Belgium
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Roef D. (C) 
Ngom M. 
Burgess C. 
Araujo T. 
Balikwisha M. 
Sonko M. 
Vergara J. 
Fossey M. (C) 
Karamoko I. 
Nielsen C. 
Touzghar R. 
Drammeh S. 
Eckert D. 
Ayinde A. 
Goore H. 
Kadri A. 
Paskotsi M. 
Fosso R. 
Ilaimaharitra M. 
Jasper S. 
Mohr T. 
Zeqiri A. 
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