Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Standard Liège		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.30	3.40	Watch
	2.10	3.50	3.40
	2.10	3.30	3.40	Watch
	2.16	3.48	3.66
	2.09	3.58	3.4	Watch
	2.13	3.30	3.60
	2.13	3.51	3.62	Watch
	2.17	3.40	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.38)	3.42 ↑ (3.29)	3.47 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
45%

Draw
27.7%

Royal Antwerp
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Standard Liège's performance.

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Standard Liège that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Antwerp will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Epolo M. (G) 13. Fossey M. (C) 20. Karamoko I. 25. Hautekiet I. 3. Mortensen G. 94. Nielsen C. 22. Trouillet A. 84. Touzghar R. 17. Nguene B. 10. Eckert D. 11. Abid A.	41. Nozawa T. (G) 44. Busi M. 4. Tsunashima Y. 3. Cortes A. 17. Renders S. 24. Somers T. (C) 14. Dierckx X. 48. Vermeeren A. 10. Scott C. 7. Salah I. 9. Frey M.
Substitutes
29. Dierckx D. 15. Drammeh S. 80. Fosso R. 6. Goemaere L. 19. Jasper S. 18. Lawrence H. 7. Mohr T. 77. Nsimba B. 21. Pirard L. (G)	8. Benitez M. 6. Deuff B. 81. Devalckeneer N. (G) 25. Fofana M. 99. Narh L. 33. Porozo S. 28. Schelfhout L. 27. Tuypens E. 20. Van Helden R.
Coaches
Euvrard V.	Compper M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Busi M. 🟨,
10', Karamoko I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Tsunashima Y. 🟨,
61', Busi M. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
61', Salah I. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
64', Mortensen G. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
65', Nguene B. ↓, Drammeh S. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Eckert D. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Scott C. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
79', Renders S. ↓, Tuypens E. ↑,
82', Eckert D. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
83', Trouillet A. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
84', Dierckx X. ↓, Narh L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Antwerp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Standard might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Standard: El Hankouri M. (Inactive) Homawoo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ilaimaharitra M. (Inactive) Lavalee D. (Inactive) Zeqiri A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Antwerp: Foulon D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:38. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11:15	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Royal Antwerp - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.14%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Standard Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Standard Liège - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTTL
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.08.26	Royal Antwerp - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Royal Antwerp - Genk	4:4 ✺
15.08.26	Kortrijk - Royal Antwerp	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	Royal Antwerp - Beveren	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Leyton Orient - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.05.26	Royal Antwerp - Standard Liège	0:5
21.04.26	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:2
15.03.26	Royal Antwerp - Standard Liège	1:1
20.10.25	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:0
16.03.25	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	0:0
27.10.24	Royal Antwerp - Standard Liège	3:0
31.01.24	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	0:1

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