Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.49	4.1	6.2
	1.46	4	6.62
	1.46	3.97	6.54
	1.47	4.05	5.8
	1.49	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.31)	4.02 ↓ (4.33)	6.19 ↓ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
62.3%

Draw
22.8%

Derince Belediyespor
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

21%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

19%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beyoglu Yeni Carsi's form might have worsened.

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derince Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beyoglu Yeni Carsi than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beyoglu Yeni Carsi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derince Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Demircan B. B. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Guler M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 3 - 0, Bektas F. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Huseyin A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 15).

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Derince Belediyespor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Beyoglu Yeni Carsi is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Beyoglu Yeni Carsi to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.11.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Giresunspor	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Bucaspor 1928	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWT
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.11.24	Derince Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Derince Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	1:7 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Tire 2021	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.10.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Derince Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

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