Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.43	3.2	2.8
	2.31	3.25	2.67
	2.39	3.23	2.78	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.39	3.1	2.72
	2.43	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.49)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.73 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
37.8%

Draw
28.9%

Menemenspor
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beyoglu Yeni Carsi's performance.

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Menemenspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beyoglu Yeni Carsi than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beyoglu Yeni Carsi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Menemenspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Menemenspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Budak B. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
53', 1 - 1, Arkutcu E. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Turker H. ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, Can Koc S. ⚽,
64', 2 - 3, Demircan B. B. ⚽,
89', Ekinci B. 🟥,
90+2', 3 - 3, Demircan B. B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Menemen have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.12.24	Elazığspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	4:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Nazillispor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Derince Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLW
- Menemenspor
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Menemenspor - Ankaragücü	2:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.12.24	Menemenspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Menemenspor - Elazığspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Menemenspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWL

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