Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 1

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kendirciler Y. A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	A Spor


	Keçiörengücü		Beyoglu Yeni Carsi

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	10
	1.33	4.9	8.25
	1.37	4.58	8.33	Watch
	1.33	4.4	7.5
	1.34	4.75	8.4	Watch
	1.35	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	4.81 ↑ (4.45)	8.33 ↑ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
69.7%

Draw
19.2%

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.8%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

20.2%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beyoglu Yeni Carsi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Keçiörengücü - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Beyoglu Yeni Carsi will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keçiörengücü: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keçiörengücü will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Satilmis E. (G) 73. Lus S. 4. Celik A. 22. Ayan H. 15. Wellington Nascimento 32. Poyraz E. 6. Develi E. 19. Osman H. 77. Ozler T. 17. Bilgic H. 9. Akman A.	47. Yeniay M. (G) 17. Ekinci B. 5. Has Y. 50. Keten A. 75. Iyican A. E. 56. Kacan M. 74. Yilmaz A. 30. Akkas A. 14. Kurtoglu A. 24. Buyukbas E. 27. Cesmebasi A.
Substitutes
14. Akdag I. 5. Caliskan O. 11. Dere A. 55. Diouf M. 21. Ezeh F. 78. Fernandes J. 62. Ozdas B. 88. Ozer A. (G) 7. Roshi O. 61. Tahiroglu M.	33. Agace E. 20. Cigdem Y. 11. Eren E. 3. Fidan A. 99. Sari M. (G) 2. Terzi E. 82. Yesiloz E. 61. Zeren B.
Coaches
Kosukavak Y.	Inanc E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Ayan H. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Akman A. ⚽, Celik A. (A),
45+3', Akman A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Akkas A. ↓, Agace E. ↑,
46', Kurtoglu A. ↓, Zeren B. ↑,
58', Buyukbas E. ↓, Eren E. ↑,
58', Ekinci B. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Eren E. ⚽, Terzi E. (A),
61', Poyraz E. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
61', Ozler T. ↓, Ezeh F. ↑,
70', Celik A. 🟨,
70', Cesmebasi A. ↓, Yesiloz E. ↑,
74', Ayan H. ↓, Akdag I. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Develi E. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
83', Osman H. ↓, Roshi O. ↑,
83', Bilgic H. ↓, Dere A. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Keçiörengücü is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Including home match between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Kayserispor	2:0 ET ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWL
- Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
Turkish Second League White Group
20.12.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - İnegölspor	2:3 ✺
16.12.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Bucaspor 1928	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Beykoz Anadolu - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	5:1 ✺
30.11.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Ankaraspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	4:2

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