Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Bezana		Barquereño

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.35	4.35
	1.71	3.52	4.59
	1.69	3.42	4.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.43 (3.43)	4.51 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bezana
53.3%

Draw
26.5%

Barquereño
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Barquereño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Bezana - Barquereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Bezana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barquereño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Barquereño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bezana is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bezana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bezana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.11.25	Bezana - Castro	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Cayón - Bezana	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bezana - Vimenor	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tropezón - Bezana	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Bezana - Cartes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTTW
- CD Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Barquereño - Torina	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Albericia - Barquereño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Noja - Barquereño	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Barquereño - Castro	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Cayón - Barquereño	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
06.10.24	Bezana - Barquereño	2:2
15.09.19	Bezana - Barquereño	2:1

Bezana - Barquereño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide