Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 27

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Bezana		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.77	3.35	4.22
	1.76	3.35	4.22
	1.69	3.45	4.67
	1.7	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	4.44 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bezana
52.8%

Draw
26.8%

Sámano
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Acarregui A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Acarregui A. ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Bezana is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sámano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bezana is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bezana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.03.24	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Bezana - Cartes	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Tropezón - Bezana	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Bezana - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Escobedo - Bezana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWTLW
- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
24.03.24	Sámano - Naval Reinosa	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Castro - Sámano	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sámano - Atlético Albericia	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Velarde - Sámano	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Sámano - Laredo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.11.23	Sámano - Bezana	2:2
21.09.19	Sámano - Bezana	1:0

Bezana - Sámano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide