Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guarnizo		Bezana

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.85	2.85
	2.35	2.95	2.8
	2.35	3.05	2.85
	2.4	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.3	2.95	2.75
	2.37	2.95	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.33)	2.98 ↓ (2.98)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
38.1%

Draw
30.2%

Bezana
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Guarnizo has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.4:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guarnizo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bezana	8	5	2	1	13:7	6	17
11	Guarnizo	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.09.26	Sámano - Guarnizo	4:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tropezón - Guarnizo	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Guarnizo - Tropezón	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Guarnizo - Noja	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW
- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
19.09.26	Bezana - Naval Reinosa	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Bezana - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.05.26	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bezana - Selaya	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Laredo - Bezana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.05.26	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:1
10.01.26	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:0
19.10.24	Bezana - Guarnizo	0:1
23.03.24	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:2
04.11.23	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:0
11.04.21	Guarnizo - Bezana	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.10.17	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:1

Guarnizo - Bezana