Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Guarnizo		Bezana

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.3
	2.12	3.04	3.5	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.13	2.98	3.38
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.08)	2.96 ↓ (3.25)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
42.9%

Draw
30.6%

Bezana
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Guarnizo - Bezana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Guarnizo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bezana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guarnizo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bezana	5	5	0	0	11:3	8	15
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.01.26	Torina - Guarnizo	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Guarnizo - Barquereño	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Guarnizo - Castro	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Cayón - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Guarnizo - Montañas del Pas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWTW
- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
03.01.26	Bezana - Colindres	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Selaya - Bezana	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bezana - Laredo	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Albericia - Bezana	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torina - Bezana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
19.10.24	Bezana - Guarnizo	0:1
23.03.24	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:2
04.11.23	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:0
11.04.21	Guarnizo - Bezana	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.10.17	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:1

Guarnizo - Bezana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide