The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bhayangkara 33%
Draw 31.2%
Borneo Samarinda 35.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.9%
29.2%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
28.3%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bhayangkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bhayangkara's performance.
Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borneo Samarinda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bhayangkara than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bhayangkara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borneo Samarinda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Bhayangkara - Borneo Samarinda Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bhayangkara will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bhayangkara: 64.6% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Bhayangkara (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Bhayangkara (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bhayangkara will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bhayangkara (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Savik A. (G) 2. Gede P. 10. Doumbia B. 15. Damjanovic S. 4. Sadiki N. 17. Sidibe M. 5. Moises Gaucho 19. Ichsan T. 37. Mbaga P. 23. Subo W. (C) 58. Missa F.
1. Argawinata N. (C) 5. Cleylton 10. Peralta M. 16. Teguh K. 7. Astina M. 22. Nduwarugira C. 8. Hirose K. 23. Caxambu 96. Kaio Nunes 50. Enero 99. Sihran M.
Substitutes
6. Alan Cardoso 11. Andika F. 12. Awan Setho (G) 25. Florasta E. 8. Ginanjar 96. Kurnia R. 3. Leo Silva 20. Rizki S. 9. Spasojevic I. 22. Sulistyawan D. 45. Syawal R.
52. Ahmad Agung 54. Buffon A. 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 77. Khanafi M. 88. Kuswardani D. 24. Michiels D. 9. Obieta K. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Munster P.
Lefundes F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Subo W. 🟨,
37', Teguh K. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Mbaga P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Missa F. ↓, Alan Cardoso ↑,
46', Astina M. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
46', Sihran M. ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Teguh K. ⚽, Enero (A),
54', Caxambu 🟨,
61', Enero 🟨,
62', Ichsan T. ↓, Sulistyawan D. ↑,
72', Doumbia B. ↓, Spasojevic I. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Zikrak I. ⚽, Kaio Nunes (A),
78', Awan Setho ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
86', Kaio Nunes ↓, Khanafi M. ↑,
86', Teguh K. ↓, Buffon A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bhayangkara won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Borneo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Bhayangkara has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bhayangkara won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Bhayangkara won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Indonesia
Watch
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Savik A. (G) 
Doumbia B. 
Damjanovic S. 
Sadiki N. 
Sidibe M. 
Moises Gaucho 
Mbaga P. 
Peralta M. 
Nduwarugira C. 
Hirose K. 
Obieta K. 
Munster P. 
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