Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Borneo Samarinda		PSM Makassar

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.8	3.66	4.17	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.92	3.32	4.04	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.95)	3.39 ↓ (3.49)	3.94 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borneo Samarinda
49.8%

Draw
27%

PSM Makassar
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Borneo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Makassar will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borneo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Borneo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borneo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Argawinata N. (C) 54. Buffon A. 24. Michiels D. 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 20. Villa J. 16. Teguh K. 8. Hirose K. 32. Douglas Coutinho 9. Joel Vinicius 10. Peralta M.	97. Hilmansyah (G) 13. Lasinari S. 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 2. Aloisio Neto 22. Victor Luiz 8. Savio Roberto 40. Gledson 88. Raehan A. 24. Pratama R. 98. Medina Themopole J. 9. Alex
Substitutes
52. Ahmad Agung 11. Fachgi R. 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 57. Islami Muhammad Narendra T. 88. Kuswardani D. 7. Maicon Souza 94. Nurdiansyah D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 12. Utina R. 6. Zikrak I.	29. Aditia F. 48. Arfan M. 30. Arya R. (G) 7. Dethan V. 6. Fandi R. 71. Hidayat M. 77. Kamara A. 18. Pagamo G. 81. Rahaman A. 10. Sakai D. 68. Salman D. 45. Tanjung A.
Coaches
Lefundes F.	Trucha T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Alex ⚽, Pratama R. (A),
40', Teguh K. 🟨,
43', Raehan A. 🟨,
45+9', Douglas Coutinho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Raehan A. ↓, Tanjung A. ↑,
53', Victor Luiz 🟨,
58', Pratama R. ↓, Hidayat M. ↑,
63', Teguh K. ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
65', Hidayat M. 🟨,
67', Fernandes Y. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Joel Vinicius ⚽, Peralta M. (A),
74', Arfan M. 🟨,
74', Savio Roberto ↓, Sakai D. ↑,
75', Hidayat M. ↓, Rahaman A. ↑,
78', Douglas Coutinho ↓, Maicon Souza ↑,
83', Villa J. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Joel Vinicius ⚽, Caxambu (A),
90+1', Gledson ↓, Kamara A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 1.

Borneo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Makassar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Borneo is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Borneo	4	2	0	2	3:4	-1	6
12	PSM Makassar	3	0	2	1	6:8	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
28.12.25	Java United - Borneo Samarinda	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:2 ✺
05.12.25	Persib Bandung - Borneo Samarinda	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLW
- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
27.12.25	Persib Bandung - PSM Makassar	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	PSM Makassar - Java United	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Persis Solo - PSM Makassar	3:4 ✺
21.11.25	PSM Makassar - PSBS Biak Numfor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
18.04.25	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	1:1
02.12.24	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	1:0
Indonesian President Cup
25.07.24	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	1:1
Indonesian Super League
29.03.24	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	1:1
25.09.23	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	1:0
16.04.23	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	3:0
23.12.22	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	1:1

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