Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua (Tangerang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Persita Tangerang		Borneo Samarinda

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.25	2.15	Watch
	2.96	3.58	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.06	3.25	2.14
	2.9	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.46)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	2.16 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persita Tangerang
30.8%

Draw
27.2%

Borneo Samarinda
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

24.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persita Tangerang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borneo Samarinda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persita Tangerang than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Persita will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persita (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Persita (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Persita (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Rodrigues I. (G) 11. Toha M. (C) 5. Kozubayev T. 15. Fathoni C. 66. Jardel M. 33. Bae Sin-Young 19. Guseynov J. 80. Caraka H. 10. Bessa E. 7. Rodriguez R. 77. Matheus Alves	1. Argawinata N. (C) 54. Buffon A. 24. Michiels D. 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 66. Hardiansyah D. 8. Hirose K. 10. Peralta M. 20. Villa J. 7. Maicon Souza 9. Joel Vinicius
Substitutes
22. Alchoir F. 93. Andrejic A. 36. Djiaulhaq Z. 8. Ganet P. 96. Kartika A. (G) 9. Nur Hardianto A. 73. Nursofyan A. 69. Pamungkas R. (G) 99. Sahrul E. 30. Saputra A. 27. Zalnando	52. Ahmad Agung 55. Al H. M. 32. Douglas Coutinho 11. Fachgi R. 63. Fasya D. (G) 57. Islami Muhammad Narendra T. 88. Kuswardani D. 94. Nurdiansyah D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 12. Utina R. 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Pena C.	Lefundes F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Guseynov J. ⚽, Caraka H. (A),
23', Nduwarugira C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maicon Souza ↓, Douglas Coutinho ↑,
56', Fathoni C. ↓, Djiaulhaq Z. ↑,
56', Hardiansyah D. ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
69', Matheus Alves ↓, Andrejic A. ↑,
69', Bessa E. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
75', Buffon A. ↓, Kuswardani D. ↑,
75', Michiels D. ↓, Sihran M. ↑,
75', Joel Vinicius ↓, Al H. M. ↑,
76', Al H. M. 🟨,
78', Caraka H. ↓, Sahrul E. ↑,
81', Zikrak I. 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Andrejic A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persita won 0.

Persita is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Borneo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Borneo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Persita won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Persita won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Persita	4	2	2	0	8:6	2	8
11	Borneo	4	2	0	2	3:4	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Persita Tangerang - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persita Tangerang
Indonesian Super League
04.01.26	Persis Solo - Persita Tangerang	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	Arema - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Persita Tangerang - Persik Kediri	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Dewa United - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Persita Tangerang - Java United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWLT
- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
03.01.26	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Java United - Borneo Samarinda	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:2 ✺
05.12.25	Persib Bandung - Borneo Samarinda	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
22.02.25	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	1:2
30.09.24	Borneo Samarinda - Persita Tangerang	0:0
02.03.24	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	0:1
25.08.23	Borneo Samarinda - Persita Tangerang	2:1
20.02.23	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	1:1
09.09.22	Borneo Samarinda - Persita Tangerang	2:2
02.02.22	Persita Tangerang - Borneo Samarinda	1:1

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