Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Biellese		Lavagnese

	1	X	2
	2.12	3	3.2
	2.05	3.09	3.57	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.4
	2.12	3.2	3.51
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.37)	3.06 ↑ (2.99)	3.46 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biellese
44%

Draw
29.7%

Lavagnese
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biellese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biellese's performance.

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biellese than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biellese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lavagnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Biellese - Lavagnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 3 - 0, ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 11).

Recent performances by Biellese have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lavagnese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Biellese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AS Biellese	6	4	2	0	12:5	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Biellese
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Biellese - Vado	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Gozzano - Biellese	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Biellese - Ligorna	1:4 ✺
30.11.25	Sestri Levante - Biellese	0:0 ✺
24.11.25	Biellese - Club Milano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTT
- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Varese - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lavagnese - Chisola	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lavagnese - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vado - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lavagnese - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLT

Biellese - Lavagnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide