Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Varese		Lavagnese

	1	X	2
	2	3.26	3.49	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.6
	1.93	3.48	3.79
	1.86	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.19)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	3.67 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
47.6%

Draw
27.6%

Lavagnese
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.3%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lavagnese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Varese - Lavagnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 3.

Varese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lavagnese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Varese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Varese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.12.25	Saluzzo - Varese	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Derthona - Varese	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Varese - Celle Varazze	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Valenzana Mado - Varese	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Varese - Unione Sanremo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTWW
- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.12.25	Lavagnese - Chisola	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lavagnese - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vado - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lavagnese - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Club Milano - Lavagnese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
30.03.25	Varese - Lavagnese	1:2
17.11.24	Lavagnese - Varese	0:1
14.01.24	Lavagnese - Varese	3:1
29.01.22	Varese - Lavagnese	2:1
19.09.21	Lavagnese - Varese	1:2
18.04.21	Varese - Lavagnese	2:2
23.12.20	Lavagnese - Varese	1:1

Varese - Lavagnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide