The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Biescas 9.9%
Draw 21.7%
Illueca 68.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.8%
22.3%
66.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.2%
21.1%
70.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Biescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Illueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biescas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Biescas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Illueca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Biescas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.