Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Utebo		Illueca

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	2.8
	2.63	2.8	2.43
	2.42	2.9	2.85
	2.38	2.9	2.89
	2.41	3.1	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.89)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.77 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
36.7%

Draw
30.9%

Illueca
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

30%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.

Illueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illueca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illueca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utebo - Illueca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Utebo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Illueca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Utebo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Utebo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Utebo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
08.05.22	Utebo - Robres	4:2 ET ✺
01.05.22	Utebo - Biescas	6:0 ✺
24.04.22	Épila - Utebo	0:1 ✺
13.04.22	Utebo - Giner Torrero	5:1 ✺
09.04.22	Borja - Utebo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWT
- CF Illueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
08.05.22	Illueca - Binéfar	1:1 ET ✺
01.05.22	Illueca - Santa Anastasia	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Robres - Illueca	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Illueca - Binéfar	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Cuarte - Illueca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
26.02.22	Utebo - Illueca	3:1
01.12.19	Utebo - Illueca	0:2

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