Match Info

CROATIA: Prva NL - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Igralište BSK (Bijelo Brdo)


	Bijelo Brdo		Zrinski Osječko

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2	3	3.4
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.09	3.34	3.12
	2.08	3.31	3.26
	2.14	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.74)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	3.35 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bijelo Brdo
43.9%

Draw
28.9%

Zrinski Osječko
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

26%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bijelo Brdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bijelo Brdo's form might have worsened.

Zrinski Osječko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinski Osječko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bijelo Brdo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bijelo Brdo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinski Osječko than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinski Osječko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bijelo Brdo - Zrinski Osječko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kovacevic F. (G) 27. Benic A. 13. Dalic V. 30. Knezevic J. 19. Mazar F. 9. Pejic I. 3. Rugasevic D. 25. Stranput D. 14. Svraka F. 29. Tomasevic J. 8. Vujanic L.	24. Stanic M. (G) 11. Gvozdenovic B. 16. Ilicic D. 17. Korov P. 23. Kupresak T. 4. Mendes M. 15. Pajic M. 10. Pejic P. 14. Vidovic D. 7. Vukusic A. 6. Zirdum M.
Substitutes
1. Djilas I. (G) 7. Junior J. 20. Michael I. 4. Pajic M. 2. Perisa P. 24. Pusic D. 17. Sekulic D. 6. Vukic I. 23. Zebec L.	18. Baricjak L. 12. Damjanovic D. 27. Gadze G. 77. Jankovic L. 9. Pejic F. 20. Preljevic E. 2. Vuica J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Prva NL (Relegation) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Druga NL).

Recent matches Bijelo Brdo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zrinski Osječko has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bijelo Brdo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bijelo Brdo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bijelo Brdo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bijelo Brdo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK BSK Bijelo Brdo
Croatian Prva NL
16.10.24	Vukovar 91 - Bijelo Brdo	1:1 ✺
11.10.24	Sesvete - Bijelo Brdo	1:3 ✺
05.10.24	Bijelo Brdo - Orijent	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Bijelo Brdo - Croatia Zmijavci	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TWTLT
- NK Zrinski Osječko
Croatian Prva NL
11.10.24	Zrinski Osječko - Rudeš	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Opatija - Zrinski Osječko	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Cibalia - Zrinski Osječko	5:0 ✺
18.09.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dugopolje	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
19.04.24	Zrinski Osječko - Bijelo Brdo	1:0
25.11.23	Bijelo Brdo - Zrinski Osječko	0:1
09.09.23	Zrinski Osječko - Bijelo Brdo	1:0

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