Match Info

National League South - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: New Lodge (Essex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Billericay Town		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.70	2.10
	2.95	3.55	2.00
	2.75	4.05	2.21
	2.88	3.78	2.18	Watch
	2.70	4.00	2.17
	2.83	3.80	2.21
	2.75	3.70	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.22)	3.8 ↑ (3.56)	2.14 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
33%

Draw
24.2%

Torquay United
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

25.6%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24.9%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billericay Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Billericay Town - Torquay United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Bonne M. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Watts C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 3 - 0, Benton J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ National League South PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 10th).

In recent outings, Billericay has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Torquay is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Torquay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Torquay holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Billericay has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Billericay against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Torquay: 14.21% Billericay: 3.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Billericay	10	5	3	2	21:14	7	18
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13:14	-1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Torquay United - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.07%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English National League South
15.09.26	Billericay Town - Braintree Town	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Maidenhead United - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
08.09.26	Chesham United - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Billericay Town - Dorking Wanderers	3:3 ✺
31.08.26	Salisbury - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWTL
- Torquay United
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Torquay United - Stoneham	6:1 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
08.09.26	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Torquay United - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Farnham Town - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.03.19	Billericay Town - Torquay United	0:2
03.11.18	Torquay United - Billericay Town	2:2

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