Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4.00
	1.78	3.60	3.60
	1.74	4.19	4.18
	1.73	4.07	4.07	Watch
	1.69	4.10	4.05
	1.67	3.88	4.11
	1.67	3.80	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.15)	3.91 ↑ (3.65)	4.03 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
53.8%

Draw
23.4%

Folkestone Invicta
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torquay United's performance.

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folkestone Invicta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torquay United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folkestone Invicta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torquay United - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Beaumont-Clark J. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Moore D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 1, Smith L. ⚽,
50', 2 - 2, Thomas D. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Jay M. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Torquay might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Torquay: 14.21% Folkestone: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13:14	-1	13
15	Folkestone	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Torquay United - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
31.08.26	Farnham Town - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Torquay United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Tonbridge Angels - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLTW
- Folkestone Invicta
English National League South
31.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Slough Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Maidstone United - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Sutton United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTTL

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