Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Binéfar |
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La Almunia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.42 |
2.78 |
2.92 |
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2.38 |
2.83 |
3.06 |
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2.41 |
2.86 |
3.09 |
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2.4 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
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2.38 |
2.81 |
3.07 |
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2.42 |
2.83 |
3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.4 ↑ (2.4) |
2.81 ↑ (2.79) |
3.01 (3.01) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Binéfar 37.7% | Draw 32.2% | La Almunia 30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Binéfar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.La Almunia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Almunia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Binéfar - La Almunia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Chicho ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 0, De Mesa Garrido A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 68', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+7', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binéfar won 3.Binéfar has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).La Almunia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Binéfar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Binéfar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Binefar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
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| 10 | La Almunia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;