Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 14

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Binga		Bougouni

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.05	8.6	Watch
	1.33	4.4	9.37	Watch
	1.33	4	9
	1.36	3.94	8.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	4.1 ↑ (4)	8.97 ↓ (9.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Binga
67.7%

Draw
22.1%

Bougouni
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

22.7%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

21.5%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Binga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bougouni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-1%)

Binga - Bougouni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Binga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bougouni has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Binga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Binga is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binga won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Binga won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Binga	26	12	7	7	28:15	13	43
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Binga FC
Malian Première Division
18.02.26	Binga - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Onze Créateurs - Binga	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - Binga	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Binga - Korofina	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Real Bamako - Binga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWWW
- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
07.02.26	Bougouni - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bougouni - Mali Coura	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
22.11.25	Bougouni - Binga	0:1
06.12.24	Binga - Bougouni	0:0
09.02.24	Binga - Bougouni	0:0
06.11.23	Bougouni - Binga	1:1
10.02.23	Binga - Bougouni	0:0

Binga - Bougouni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide