Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 12

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	USFAS Bamako		Bougouni

	1	X	2
	1.68	2.92	5.9	Watch
	1.74	2.87	6.11	Watch
	1.71	2.95	5.63	Watch
	1.66	2.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	2.91 ↓ (2.98)	5.91 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USFAS Bamako
53.5%

Draw
31.2%

Bougouni
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

30.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

30%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for USFAS Bamako have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bougouni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

USFAS Bamako - Bougouni Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USFAS won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

USFAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, USFAS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, USFAS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.7:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, USFAS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	10	42
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
24.01.26	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Bougouba - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - USFAS Bamako	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWT
- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
24.01.26	Bougouni - Mali Coura	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Bougouni - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Bougouba - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
21.01.25	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	0:1
16.03.24	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	1:0
18.11.23	Bougouni - USFAS Bamako	0:0
17.06.23	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0
05.03.20	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	0:0

USFAS Bamako - Bougouni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide