What is the expert prediction for USFAS Bamako vs Bougouni?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for USFAS Bamako vs Bougouni. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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USFAS Bamako vs Bougouni Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, January 31, 2026)

Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 12

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	USFAS Bamako		Bougouni

	1	X	2
	1.68	2.92	5.9	Watch
	1.74	2.87	6.11	Watch
	1.71	2.95	5.63	Watch
	1.66	2.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	2.91 ↓ (2.98)	5.91 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USFAS Bamako
53.5%

Draw
31.2%

Bougouni
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

30.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

30%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for USFAS Bamako have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bougouni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USFAS won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

USFAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, USFAS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, USFAS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.7:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, USFAS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	10	42
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
24.01.26	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Bougouba - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - USFAS Bamako	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWT
- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
24.01.26	Bougouni - Mali Coura	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Bougouni - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Bougouba - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
21.01.25	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	0:1
16.03.24	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	1:0
18.11.23	Bougouni - USFAS Bamako	0:0
17.06.23	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0
05.03.20	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	0:0

USFAS Bamako - Bougouni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide