Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 11

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	16:00	FIFA+


	Bougouni		Mali Coura

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.82	3.5
	2.17	2.93	3.52	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.56
	2.08	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouni
42.7%

Draw
31.5%

Mali Coura
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

32.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mali Coura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bougouni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali Coura than the current prediction. (+3%)

Bougouni - Mali Coura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mali Coura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bougouni is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Mali Coura	26	4	8	14	20:31	-11	20
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Bougouni - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Bougouba - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bougouni - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLTWL
- FC Mali Coura
Malian Première Division
21.01.26	Mali Coura - Onze Créateurs	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Stade Malien - Mali Coura	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Mali Coura - Bougouba	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Djoliba - Mali Coura	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Mali Coura - Afrique Football Elite	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWLLL

Bougouni - Mali Coura