Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 11

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Binissalem		Alaior

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.63	3.27	5.19
	1.63	3.27	5.19
	1.59	3.62	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.92)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	4.92 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Binissalem
55.3%

Draw
26.4%

Alaior
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

24.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Binissalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Binissalem's performance.

Alaior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alaior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Binissalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alaior than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alaior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13).

Recent matches Binissalem is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alaior is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alaior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Binissalem will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Binissalem
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.11.23	Portmany - Binissalem	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Binissalem - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Poblense - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Binissalem - Constancia	1:0 ✺
12.10.23	Collerense - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWT
- CE Alaior
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.11.23	Alaior - Inter Manacor	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alaior - Felanitx	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Platges de Calvià - Alaior	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Alaior - Llosetense	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Alcúdia - Alaior	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Binissalem - Alaior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide