Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Poblense		Binissalem

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	9.25
	1.26	4.7	11
	1.27	4.71	11.17	Watch
	1.32	4.8	9.96
	1.26	4.7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.51)	4.73 ↑ (3.75)	10.48 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
71.9%

Draw
19.4%

Binissalem
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.1%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poblense's performance.

Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Binissalem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poblense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Binissalem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poblense - Binissalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Gonzalez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poblense won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Poblense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Poblense won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:4 (average 2.3:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Poblense won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:0 (average 2.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.03.25	Portmany - Poblense	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Poblense - Manacor	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Migjorn - Poblense	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Poblense - PE Sant Jordi	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Poblense - Santanyí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Binissalem
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.03.25	Binissalem - Collerense	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Binissalem - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Binissalem - Constancia	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Porreres - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
03.11.24	Binissalem - Poblense	3:2
16.03.24	Binissalem - Poblense	1:3
29.10.23	Poblense - Binissalem	1:0
11.02.23	Binissalem - Poblense	0:1
08.10.22	Poblense - Binissalem	4:0
26.02.22	Poblense - Binissalem	6:0
23.10.21	Binissalem - Poblense	0:0

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