Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 24Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday
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Binissalem |
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Constancia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.1 |
2.62 |
2.42 |
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3.24 |
2.63 |
2.53 |
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3.26 |
2.61 |
2.52 |
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3.23 |
2.56 |
2.49 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.21 ↑ (3.18) |
2.61 ↓ (2.64) |
2.49 ↑ (2.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Binissalem 28.4% | Draw 35% | Constancia 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Binissalem - Constancia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 1.Recent performances by Binissalem have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Constancia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Binissalem won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
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| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Binissalem - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 18.10.25 | Constancia - Binissalem | 3:0 | | 08.02.25 | Binissalem - Constancia | 0:1 | | 28.09.24 | Constancia - Binissalem | 1:1 | | 09.03.24 | Constancia - Binissalem | 2:0 | | 22.10.23 | Binissalem - Constancia | 1:0 | | 06.04.23 | Constancia - Binissalem | 2:2 | | 10.12.22 | Binissalem - Constancia | 1:1 |
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