Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Binissalem		Collerense

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	4.05
	1.83	3.18	4.43
	1.83	3.22	4.34	Watch
	1.88	3.38	4.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)	4.25 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Binissalem
50%

Draw
28.3%

Collerense
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Binissalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Collerense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Binissalem aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Binissalem - Collerense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 2.

Binissalem is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Collerense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Collerense has had a series of home games.

Binissalem is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Binissalem won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Binissalem	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Binissalem
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.01.26	Santanyí - Binissalem	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Son Cladera - Binissalem	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Mallorca B - Binissalem	3:0 ✺
17.12.25	Binissalem - Alcúdia	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Binissalem - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLWW
- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
17.01.26	Collerense - Felanitx	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Collerense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Portmany - Collerense	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Collerense - Rotlet Molinar	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Collerense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.09.25	Collerense - Binissalem	4:1
09.03.25	Binissalem - Collerense	1:0
26.10.24	Collerense - Binissalem	0:0
01.03.24	Binissalem - Collerense	3:0
12.10.23	Collerense - Binissalem	1:1
18.03.23	Binissalem - Collerense	1:1
19.11.22	Collerense - Binissalem	1:2

Binissalem - Collerense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide