Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Binissalem		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.25	1.73
	4.63	3.13	1.75
	4.84	3.27	1.74	Watch
	4.79	3.24	1.72
	4.6	3.25	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.27)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	1.73 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Binissalem
19.4%

Draw
28.2%

Penya Independent
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Binissalem's form might have worsened.

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penya Independent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Binissalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penya Independent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Binissalem - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Binissalem is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Penya Independent is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Penya Independent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Penya Independent will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Binissalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Binissalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Binissalem
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Binissalem - Constancia	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Porreres - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Llosetense - Binissalem	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Binissalem - Portmany	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLTL
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.02.25	Penya Independent - Portmany	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Penya Independent - Migjorn	5:0 ✺
25.01.25	PE Sant Jordi - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Penya Independent - Alcúdia	3:0 ✺
15.01.25	Campos - Penya Independent	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.03.23	Penya Independent - Binissalem	4:1
05.11.22	Binissalem - Penya Independent	2:0

Binissalem - Penya Independent: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide