Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Ilioski V. (Mkd)


	Birkirkara		Petrocub-Hîncești

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.4	3.5	2	Watch
	3.1	3.34	2.06
				Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	3.37	3.44	2.11	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.4)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkirkara
27.7%

Draw
27.3%

Petrocub-Hîncești
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birkirkara's form might have worsened.

Petrocub-Hîncești has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrocub-Hîncești's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Birkirkara - Petrocub Hîncești Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Birkirkara will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Petrocub will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Petrocub: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Birkirkara (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Petrocub (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Petrocub (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Birkirkara (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Birkirkara (votes: 2 - 40%). Petrocub (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (G) 4. Cordova 5. Marjanovic S. 25. Micallef N. 24. Lacunza L. 59. Makoma D. 20. Satariano A. (C) 29. Maydana M. 33. Acheampong G. 27. Sasere F. 77. Macula	1. Smalenea S. (G) 90. Jardan I. (C) 66. Bors I. 24. Ngah C. 11. Platica S. 37. Puscas D. 44. Guera Djou J. 39. Lungu T. 79. Bogaciuc V. 19. Rotaru N. 15. Popescu P.
Substitutes
14. Bugeja L. 22. Busuttil J. 30. Cross N. 21. Delicata L. 10. Dimech S. 17. Fenech K. 6. Gaitan P. 19. Grech M. (G) 2. Lopez F. 23. Pullicino D. 9. Reid K. 11. Zammit K. II	13. Cojocaru M. 32. Covali D. (G) 77. Decev S. 8. Demian D. 27. Dijinari V. 31. Dodon V. (G) 29. Gutium A. 23. Lupan M. 17. Pascaluta C. 21. Potirniche M. 7. Spataru D.
Coaches
De Angelis S.	Makharadze S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Lungu T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lacunza L. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Acheampong G. ⚽,
62', Satariano A. 🟨,
65', Rotaru N. ↓, Cojocaru M. ↑,
65', Popescu P. ↓, Lupan M. ↑,
69', De Angelis S. 🟨,
71', Macula ↓, Reid K. ↑,
71', Puscas D. ↓, Demian D. ↑,
77', Marjanovic S. 🟨,
80', Acheampong G. 🟨,
81', Bogaciuc V. ↓, Pascaluta C. ↑,
87', Cojocaru M. 🟨,
89', Acheampong G. ↓, Dimech S. ↑,
89', Ngah C. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Centenary Stadium.

Petrocub is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Petrocub may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Petrocub has had a series of home games.

Petrocub might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkirkara FC
Maltese FA Trophy
18.05.25	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	1:2 ✺
14.05.25	Birkirkara - Floriana	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
10.05.25	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Sliema Wanderers - Birkirkara	0:1 ET ✺
30.04.25	Floriana - Birkirkara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLWT
- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
05.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Politehnica UTM	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Bălți	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Sparta Selemet - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:6 ✺
10.05.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWL

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