The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birkirkara 37.7%
Draw 29%
Floriana 33.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27%
26%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
25.5%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birkirkara's performance.
Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floriana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birkirkara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floriana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Birkirkara - Floriana Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Birkirkara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Floriana will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ondoa F. (G) 99. Amarildo 28. Brewer S. 3. Frazan 77. Garzia A. 22. Muscat Z. (C) 30. Pablo Gabriel 17. Pahama L. 8. Rafa Santos 27. Sasere F. 74. Vassallo J.
23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 16. Chapi 9. Dervisagic K. 37. Jbira Y. 4. Kauan 14. Kurtalic A. 8. Mbong P. 90. Odey S. 17. Spiteri O. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Substitutes
10. Busuttil J. 88. Djordjevic A. 23. El Hazawi D. (G) 15. Fenech K. 24. Gill B. 14. Jefferson Vinicius 9. Reid K. 12. Sammut K. (G) 4. Yago C. d. A. 20. Zahra J. 2. Zani B.
99. Attard D. 25. Cassar G. 6. Drina A. 22. Gudelj T. 13. Micallef A. (G) 11. Muric R. 27. Newell Z. 80. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 86. Shchepetkin N.
Coaches
Zammit P.
Portela D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Sasere F. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Dervisagic K. ⚽,
36', Frazan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Jbira Y. ↓, Gudelj T. ↑,
62', Sasere F. 🟨,
71', Rafa Santos ↓, Reid K. ↑,
71', Pahama L. ↓, Djordjevic A. ↑,
79', Dervisagic K. ↓, Drina A. ↑,
81', 🟨,
84', Amarildo ↓, Busuttil J. ↑,
90+1', Odey S. ↓, Muric R. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 1.
Birkirkara is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Floriana have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Floriana has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Birkirkara has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Birkirkara against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:10 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Floriana
10
4
4
2
22:14
8
16
6
Birkirkara
10
4
2
4
12:9
3
14
Last Results with these Odds
Floriana - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Ondoa F. (G) 
Amarildo 
Brewer S. 
Garzia A. 
Pahama L. 
Rafa Santos 
Sasere F. 
Cioletti G. (G) 
Chapi 
Dervisagic K. 
Jbira Y. 
Djordjevic A. 
Zani B. 
Gudelj T. 
Picon P. (G) 
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