Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Birkirkara		Floriana

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.45	1.55
	5.74	3.58	1.58
	5.76	3.57	1.58	Watch
	5.75	3.3	1.6
	5.95	3.52	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↓ (6.13)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkirkara
15.9%

Draw
26.1%

Floriana
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

25.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

25%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Birkirkara - Floriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (G) 33. Acheampong G. 27. Coppola A. (C) 30. Cross N. 10. Dimech S. 24. Lacunza L. 2. Lopez F. 11. Macula 59. Makoma D. 3. Morello M. 9. Reid K.	23. Cioletti G. (G) 4. Antonio Lara 3. Beerman M. 9. Dervisagic K. 8. Grech J. 88. Mbong P. 34. Mendonca I. 24. M'Mombwa C. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Substitutes
91. Bayo J. 22. Busuttil J. 12. Cortis S. 21. Delicata L. 16. El Hazawi D. (G) 15. Fenech K. 23. Magri S. 25. Micallef N. 14. Pullicino D. 41. Roni Santos 50. Vrcic J.	94. Areias R. 99. Attard D. 25. Gamarra G. 19. Jah M. 6. Joyce N. 15. Mabea K. 1. Picon P. (G) 5. Rodgers G. 11. Scerri Z. 17. Spiteri O. 7. Veselji M.
Coaches
Zammit P.	Portela D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Dervisagic K. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Reid K. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Grech J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', M'Mombwa C. 🟨,
59', Dimech S. 🟨,
68', Dervisagic K. ↓, Mabea K. ↑,
68', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Areias R. ↑,
70', Dimech S. ↓, Busuttil J. ↑,
71', Macula ↓, Vrcic J. ↑,
79', Mbong P. ↓, Spiteri O. ↑,
88', Lopez F. ↓, Roni Santos ↑,
89', Varela F. ↓, Veselji M. ↑,
90+3', Acheampong G. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Busuttil J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).

Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 2.

Birkirkara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Floriana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Birkirkara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Floriana is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Birkirkara won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	9	13
4	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Premier League
08.03.26	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	3:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.03.26	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
25.02.26	Birkirkara - Pietà Hotspurs	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
21.02.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWL
- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
07.03.26	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	4:1 ✺
18.02.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Floriana - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
13.12.25	Floriana - Birkirkara	2:0
25.10.25	Floriana - Birkirkara	2:0
Maltese FA Trophy
14.05.25	Birkirkara - Floriana	2:1
Maltese Premier League
30.04.25	Floriana - Birkirkara	1:1
12.03.25	Floriana - Birkirkara	0:2
21.12.24	Birkirkara - Floriana	0:1
07.11.24	Birkirkara - Floriana	1:3

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