The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bisceglie 28.6%
Draw 30.3%
Foggia 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
30%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
20.7%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bisceglie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bisceglie's form might have worsened.
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Foggia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bisceglie than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foggia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bisceglie - Foggia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
Bisceglie is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Foggia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Foggia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Bisceglie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.