Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Paganese		Foggia

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.4
	2.65	2.9	2.42
	2.72	3.13	2.57
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.7	3.22	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.6)	3.05 ↓ (3.24)	2.47 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
33.6%

Draw
29.7%

Foggia
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Paganese - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0.

Paganese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Foggia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Paganese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.22	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	3:3 ✺
05.03.22	Paganese - Avellino	0:2 ✺
22.02.22	Catania - Paganese	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Paganese - Nuova Monterosi	0:3 ✺
15.02.22	Catanzaro - Paganese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWLL
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.22	Foggia - Picerno	3:2 ✺
05.03.22	Taranto - Foggia	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Foggia - Bari	2:2 ✺
22.02.22	Turris - Foggia	3:1 ✺
19.02.22	Monopoli - Foggia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
07.11.21	Foggia - Paganese	3:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Foggia - Paganese	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
18.04.21	Foggia - Paganese	0:1
23.12.20	Paganese - Foggia	1:4
02.04.17	Foggia - Paganese	3:1
13.11.16	Paganese - Foggia	1:1
16.01.16	Foggia - Paganese	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
02.11.26	Casarano - Foggia	✺

Paganese - Foggia