Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 30

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday


	Bishops Stortford		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.63
	5.24	3.85	1.63
	5.5	3.7	1.53
	5.36	3.8	1.59
	4.7	3.65	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↑ (3.58)	3.75 ↑ (3.41)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
17.9%

Draw
24.6%

Brackley Town
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.9%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

26.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bishops Stortford's form might have worsened.

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brackley Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brackley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Bishops Stortford - Brackley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bishops Stortford will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Brackley will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bishops Stortford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brackley is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brackley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bishops Stortford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bishops Stortford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
20.01.24	Chester - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Aldershot Town	6:1 ✺
English National League North
09.01.24	Bishops Stortford - South Shields	2:3 ✺
06.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
30.12.23	Peterborough Sports - Bishops Stortford	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
13.01.24	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Spennymoor Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Brackley Town - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Banbury United - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Brackley Town - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.08.23	Brackley Town - Bishops Stortford	1:0
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Brackley Town - Bishops Stortford	4:3 penalties
English National League North
30.03.13	Bishops Stortford - Brackley Town	1:3
25.08.12	Brackley Town - Bishops Stortford	1:0

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