Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 29

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Chester		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.8	8.75
	1.28	5	10
	1.31	5.12	9.91
	1.29	4.6	9
	1.29	5	9.65
	1.29	4.8	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	4.89 ↑ (4.5)	9.35 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
71.3%

Draw
18.8%

Bishops Stortford
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.6%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

13.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-28.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chester that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bishops Stortford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chester - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bishops Stortford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Chester is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
16.01.24	Chester - Buxton	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Chester - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
06.01.24	Chester - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Warrington Town - Chester	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Chester - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW
- Bishops Stortford
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Aldershot Town	6:1 ✺
English National League North
09.01.24	Bishops Stortford - South Shields	2:3 ✺
06.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
30.12.23	Peterborough Sports - Bishops Stortford	4:2 ✺
26.12.23	Bishops Stortford - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.08.23	Bishops Stortford - Chester	2:0
15.12.12	Chester - Bishops Stortford	4:1
13.10.12	Bishops Stortford - Chester	1:2

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