Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - Round 13

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Bistrica		Tolmin

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.1
				Watch
	1.76	3.58	3.93
	1.82	3.67	4.11
	1.72	3.6	4.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.61 ↑ (3.6)	4.08 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bistrica
52.3%

Draw
25.3%

Tolmin
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bistrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Tolmin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolmin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bistrica - Tolmin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, ⚽,
32', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

Bistrica is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tolmin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tolmin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bistrica is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bistrica to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bistrica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Including matches at home between the teams Bistrica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bistrica
Slovenian Cup
29.10.24	Vrhnika - Bistrica	1:3 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
25.10.24	Krka - Bistrica	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Bistrica - Bilje	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Bistrica - Drava Ptuj	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTTW
- NK Tolmin
Slovenian Cup
30.10.24	Tolmin - NK Bravo	0:2 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
26.10.24	Tolmin - Triglav	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Rudar Velenje - Tolmin	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Tolmin - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Beltinci - Tolmin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
14.10.23	Bistrica - Tolmin	0:1

Bistrica - Tolmin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide