Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Mestni stadion ob jezeru (Velenje)


	Rudar Velenje		Tolmin

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
				Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.31
	2.13	3.16	3.56	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.2
	2.05	3.14	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.77)	3.2 ↓ (3.8)	3.56 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rudar Velenje
45.5%

Draw
28.7%

Tolmin
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rudar Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rudar Velenje's form might have worsened.

Tolmin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rudar Velenje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolmin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Rudar Velenje - Tolmin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Rudar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tolmin is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rudar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rudar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Rudar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
13.10.24	Krka - Rudar Velenje	3:0 ✺
04.10.24	Rudar Velenje - Bilje	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Tabor Sežana - Rudar Velenje	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
25.09.24	Krško - Rudar Velenje	1:3 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
21.09.24	Rudar Velenje - Drava Ptuj	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTWT
- NK Tolmin
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.10.24	Tolmin - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Beltinci - Tolmin	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Tolmin - Gorica	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Tolmin	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Tolmin - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.24	Rudar Velenje - Tolmin	3:1
16.09.23	Tolmin - Rudar Velenje	3:0

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