Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stavollen kunstgress (Bergen)


	Bjarg		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.60	4.10
	1.70	3.70	4.10
	1.69	4.09	4.33
	1.8	4.07	3.71	Watch
	1.67	3.85	4.25
	1.73	4.19	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	4.08 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjarg
53.9%

Draw
23.5%

Mjøndalen
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

23.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjarg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bjarg's performance.

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjøndalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mjøndalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bjarg - Mjøndalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mossestad P. (G) 14. Aanonsen S. 18. Ahlander A. 4. Ahmer M. 11. Brattreit E. 22. Christophersen M. 9. Eiane M. 6. Halset V. 15. Hanssen A. 8. Jorgensen J. (C) 29. Stephensen K.	1. Klausen P. (G) 18. Arsbog N. 6. Bjornebye T. 21. Breivik C. 14. Flem T. 3. Kristiansen E. 8. Marthinussen S. 7. Midtgard O. 17. Solberg J. 5. Sundo B. 4. Vik I.
Substitutes
17. Ali Alzubi M. 16. Fromreide Aasbo E. 7. Hopsdal S. 24. Iversen E. R. (G) 5. Mildestveit H. 23. Pedersen A. 2. Steensen T. 19. Stronstad-Loseth S. 27. Vikane K.	9. Bringaker M. 27. Kekeli K. 92. Ottesen M. 20. Pajic E. 25. Reiersen J. (G) 77. Schmolker V. 15. Steinset K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Eiane M. ⚽,
26', Marthinussen S. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
30', Solberg J. ↓, Kekeli K. ↑,
43', Breivik C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Hanssen A. ↓, Stronstad-Loseth S. ↑,
66', Breivik C. ↓, Schmolker V. ↑,
66', Flem T. ↓, Bringaker M. ↑,
66', Arsbog N. ↓, Ottesen M. ↑,
71', Jorgensen J. 🟨,
75', Jorgensen J. ↓, Hopsdal S. ↑,
75', Brattreit E. ↓, Mildestveit H. ↑,
80', Eiane M. ↓, Fromreide Aasbo E. ↑,
80', Stephensen K. ↓, Ali Alzubi M. ↑,
87', Ali Alzubi M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bjarg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bjarg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bjarg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bjarg	22	14	2	6	47:28	19	44
4	Mjondalen	22	14	2	6	43:28	15	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Bjarg
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Fana - Bjarg	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.08.26	Pors - Bjarg	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Bjarg - Sotra	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Lysekloster - Bjarg	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Bjarg - Pors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLWL
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Bærum - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.08.26	Mjøndalen - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kvik Halden - Mjøndalen	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Mjøndalen - Notodden	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Brattvåg - Mjøndalen	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.06.26	Mjøndalen - Bjarg	1:0

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