Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stavollen kunstgress (Bergen)


	Bjarg		Sotra

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.25	2.95
	2.1	3.35	3.1
	2.07	3.6	3.32
	2.1	3.62	3.15
	2.12	3.45	3.1
	2.18	3.63	2.98
	2.35	3.35	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.38)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	3.01 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bjarg
42.9%

Draw
26.6%

Sotra
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjarg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bjarg's performance.

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sotra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bjarg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sotra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bjarg - Sotra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnsen J. (G) 14. Aanonsen S. 18. Ahlander A. 4. Ahmer M. 22. Christophersen M. 16. Fromreide Aasbo E. 6. Halset V. 13. Hopsdal S. 7. Hopsdal S. 29. Stephensen K. 19. Stronstad-Loseth S.	1. Grasmo M. (G) 22. Bildoy M. 8. Foldnes H. 11. Haland T. 19. Hjorteseth I. 3. Johansen A. 10. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 15. Myrmo M. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D.
Substitutes
17. Ali Alzubi M. 11. Brattreit E. 10. Dahl C. 9. Eiane M. 25. Hanssen A. 8. Jorgensen J. 5. Mildestveit H. 12. Mossestad P. (G) 21. Olsnes S.	27. Ekren V. S. 14. Faeo M. 7. Falck F. 26. Lange L. 23. Lunde M. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G) 4. Tveit J. 6. Wik S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Hjorteseth I. ⚽,
30', Johansen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Halset V. ↓, Brattreit E. ↑,
46', Fromreide Aasbo E. ↓, Jorgensen J. ↑,
69', Stronstad-Loseth S. 🟨,
72', Torum D. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 0 - 2, Torum D. ⚽,
75', Ahmer M. ↓, Mildestveit H. ↑,
75', Stronstad-Loseth S. ↓, Dahl C. ↑,
77', Stephensen K. ↓, Eiane M. ↑,
78', Falck F. 🟨,
84', Hjorteseth I. ↓, Wik S. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Kilen L. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 3, Brattreit E. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Bjarg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sotra has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bjarg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bjarg	22	14	2	6	47:28	19	44
5	Sotra	22	12	3	7	47:25	22	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Bjarg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
01.08.26	Lysekloster - Bjarg	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Bjarg - Pors	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Mjøndalen - Bjarg	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Bjarg - Vidar	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Træff - Bjarg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW
- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.08.26	Sotra - Arendal	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Notodden - Sotra	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sotra - Jerv	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Kvik Halden - Sotra	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sotra - Brattvåg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.05.26	Sotra - Bjarg	1:2

Upcoming Matches