Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden) 🌤️ ...


	Notodden		Sotra

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.30	2.20
	2.92	3.25	2.25
	3.14	3.26	2.33
	2.73	3.63	2.34	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
	2.8	3.52	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.68)	3.36 ↓ (3.57)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Notodden
32.1%

Draw
27.5%

Sotra
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sotra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Notodden - Sotra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solas S. O. (G) 5. Ahmed M. 20. Bjerkan B. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 8. Jorgensen S. 6. Larsen S. 9. Leandersson E. 3. Osen H. H. 10. Pettersen A. 2. Svendby C. 27. Wenneberg M.	1. Grasmo M. (G) 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 11. Haland T. 19. Hjorteseth I. 3. Johansen A. 10. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D. (C) 6. Wik S.
Substitutes
32. Andersen J. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 14. Foss-Erstad T. 17. Kalstad A. 22. Nordbo T. 15. Rasberg S. 23. Ryste A. 7. Sersland A. 26. Tobiassen B.	22. Bildoy M. 23. Lunde M. 15. Myrmo M. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G) 4. Tveit J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Kilen L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Larsen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wik S. ↓, Bildoy M. ↑,
62', Falck F. ↓, Myrmo M. ↑,
67', Pettersen A. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
85', Ahmed M. ↓, Kalstad A. ↑,
85', Bjerkan B. ↓, Ryste A. ↑,
88', Haland T. ↓, Lunde M. ↑,
89', Svendby C. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 1.

Notodden has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sotra has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Notodden won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sotra	25	14	3	8	58:31	27	45
6	Notodden	25	10	5	10	38:34	4	35

Last Results with these Odds

Notodden - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.06.26	Sandviken - Notodden	0:4 ✺
20.06.26	Notodden - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Lysekloster - Notodden	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Notodden - Jerv	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Brattvåg - Notodden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWTL
- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.06.26	Sotra - Jerv	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Kvik Halden - Sotra	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sotra - Brattvåg	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Arendal - Sotra	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Sotra - Bjarg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.25	Notodden - Sotra	1:1
27.04.25	Sotra - Notodden	1:3
21.09.24	Notodden - Sotra	0:0
06.04.24	Sotra - Notodden	2:1
08.10.22	Sotra - Notodden	2:2
09.04.22	Notodden - Sotra	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
11.09.21	Notodden - Sotra	3:0

Notodden - Sotra