Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Straume Fotballhall (Straume)


	Sotra		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.50	3.10
	1.95	3.40	3.30
	1.93	4.07	3.44
	2.1	3.82	3.03	Watch
	1.87	4.00	3.40
	1.84	3.72	3.46
	2.03	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)	3.25 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sotra
47%

Draw
24.8%

Jerv
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sotra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Sotra - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (G) 17. Aaserud M. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 11. Haland T. 19. Hjorteseth I. 3. Johansen A. 10. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D.	16. Gadegaard D. (G) 23. Agelin T. 77. Alanko S. 15. Almen M. 11. Badjie K. 3. Hultqvist D. 22. Kolve E. 17. Nordbo S. 18. Richstad A. 19. Strand H. 7. Syvertsen P.
Substitutes
21. Amdam A. 22. Bildoy M. 14. Faeo M. 25. Midttveit F. 15. Myrmo M. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G) 4. Tveit J. 6. Wik S.	25. Abusdal I. 1. Angelini V. (G) 8. Hellichius F. 41. Kussl L. 40. Osestad S. 4. Sanchez J. 9. Simba P. 42. Syvertsen M. 10. Wenaas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Aaserud M. ↓, Wik S. ↑,
31', 1 - 0, Hjorteseth I. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Syvertsen P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Syvertsen P. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Richstad A. ⚽,
58', Johansen A. ↓, Skar O. M. D. ↑,
59', Haland T. 🟨,
61', 1 - 3, Syvertsen P. ⚽,
64', Badjie K. 🟨,
65', Wik S. 🟨,
66', Hultqvist D. 🟨,
73', Alanko S. ↓, Osestad S. ↑,
73', Badjie K. ↓, Simba P. ↑,
75', Kolve E. 🟨,
77', Syvertsen P. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
83', Richstad A. ↓, Syvertsen M. ↑,
83', Kolve E. ↓, Hellichius F. ↑,
83', Larsen E. ↓, Myrmo M. ↑,
83', Haland T. ↓, Bildoy M. ↑,
90+4', Almen M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Sotra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jerv is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jerv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sotra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sotra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sotra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jerv	22	16	4	2	47:21	26	52
5	Sotra	22	12	3	7	47:25	22	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.06.26	Kvik Halden - Sotra	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sotra - Brattvåg	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Arendal - Sotra	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Sotra - Bjarg	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Vidar - Sotra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLW
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.06.26	Brattvåg - Jerv	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Jerv - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Notodden - Jerv	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Jerv - Kvik Halden	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Arendal - Jerv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.10.25	Jerv - Sotra	2:0
08.06.25	Sotra - Jerv	2:1
07.07.24	Jerv - Sotra	1:1
27.04.24	Sotra - Jerv	0:2

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